Murder of ISIS Leader and Its global consequences
US President Donald Trump unexpectedly announces October 27 press conference, That ISIS leader known as the Islamic State was killed by US Special Forces in northwest Syria, He wanted to make the incident more important than its size, with ridiculous accent, he called Baghdadi a coward and a loser: While crying and screaming, He locked himself and three of his children inside a tunnel, and Destroyed by suicide vests, Prior to this, US news media, including the New York Times, CNN and Newsweek, had also been rumored to have been killed by the ISIL leader in Adlib, Syria. Given the importance of the subject, we have devoted this week analysis to the details of the incident and its consequences for the world and Afghanistan.
Who was Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi?
Not much is known about Abu Bakr- al- Baghdadi’s life, especially his teenage and youth, Even after he took over ISIL leadership, He was less visible and, like Osama bin Laden and Ayman al-Zawahiri, former and current al-Qaeda leaders, he also did not voice messages. The fighters under his command have never spoken to visit their leader; it is even known that he used the coveralls when meeting with his regular members, which is why he was nicknamed “Sheikh Invisible”. Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi is said to have been born in 1971 in the city of Samarra (north of Baghdad). And at the time of the US invasion of Iraq (2003), he was scholar in a small mosque, while other narrations suggest that he also had military activities in government of Saddam Hussein, It is clear that al-Qaeda leaders spent four years in Boca Prison (southern Iraq, where most al-Qa’ida activists were held) and have been closely acquainted with al-Qaeda’s thoughts during this time. In 2010, he took over the leadership of al-Qaeda in Iraq, but never made a pledge to Ayman al-Zawahiri, who urged him to concentrate on Iraq and put Syria on the Nusra Front. The fact is that after the rise of ISIS in Iraq and Syria, Baghdadi had a higher status among al-Qaeda supporters than Ayman al-Zawahiri. In October 2011, the US officially declared Baghdadi a terrorist and announced the price of information leading to his arrest -$10 million, a prize that went up to $ 25 million in subsequent years.
How Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi was trapped?
The story of Abu Bakr-al Baghdadi’s capture is really interesting, at the height of his power (2014), Mordecai controlled 10 million people from two countries, Iraq and Syria, in an area of 100,000 square kilometers, two of his deputies play important role in reaching him, according to Al Jazeera, One is Ismail al-Ithawy, arrested in February 2018 by Iraqi government intelligence. During his confession, he provided Iraqi intelligence with important information on how Baghdadi was saved from security efforts by Iraqi security forces over many years. Al-Ithawy confesses how Baghdadi most of the time had strategic talks with his commanders inside a regular service truck full of vegetables. An Iraqi intelligence official says al-Ithawy continues to provide valuable information on the quality of traffic and Baghdad detention sites to the intelligence services. Names of five deputies (including himself) and places where they saw and meeting with Baghdadi. The information from the al-Ithawy confessions was later shared with intelligence from other countries, including CIA Central America. Al-Ithawy information undoubtedly played an important role in the arrest of Baghdadi over the spies who were chasing him day and night. Al-Ithawy, who holds a doctorate in Islamic sciences, like Baghdadi, was released from custody by US forces in 2006 after four years in prison. It was discovered in mid-2019 that Baghdadi was in Adlib and was moving from village to village with his family and three of his close deputies. Abu Suleiman Khaledi was another Baghdadi deputy who provided important information to Iraqi officials after al-Ithawy, but played a key role in anonymity. According to reports, the man was initially a close associate of Baghdadi, but later opposed to being killed by his close associates at the hands of ISIS elements, according to reports by Iraqi Democratic Forces, mostly Kurds, as spies against Baghdadi. This is how it is linked to Central American Intelligence (CIA); Although US officials have so far refused to admit it, the information eventually led to the identification of Baghdad’s recent residence in Idlib and the operation of his high-rise operation. According to the latest information, Baghdadi has been secretly living in the village of Barisha in Idlib, Syria for six months.
ISIS after leader’s death
While Baghdadi assassination is still headlines worldwide, it raises an important question in the minds of who will lead ISIS after Baghdadi’s death. However, the death of Baghdadi is considered a major blow to ISIS’s regulation. But just as al-Qaeda did not disappear with the fall of Osama bin Laden in 2011, ISIS will not be destroyed with the disappearance of Baghdadi, from the outset; ISIS has used a decentralized way of managing itself, unlike other armed groups. Particularly after April 2019, when Abu Bakr Baghdadi, during a video clip, learned that he had transferred his powers to a commission. Baghdadi reportedly had a spiritual and symbolic role in al-Qaeda, and had no role in stewards’ plans and decisions. Five days after the killing of Baghdadi, an unnamed person, Abu Ibrahim Hashemi Qureshi, was named as his successor, though there was no such person among the ISIL leaders. This person may be the same Turkmen-Iraqi Abdullah Qardash, a close associate of the ISIS leader, who many thought would be described as Baghdadi’s vice, and may be a completely illusory name, as others believe. However, ISIS will have to provide more details in the coming days.
Consequences of Baghdadi’s Death
Baghdadi was killed as ISIS reached its lowest point in the Arab region and thousands of its former fighters are held captive in Iraqi and Syrian camps and few are mentioned in headlines, If President Trump’s political urges were not for the US, his killing would probably not have been a priority for any of the countries in the region. Donald Trump is likely to spread his message to his predecessor, Barack Obama, by dissolving Osama bin Laden in 2011 to set American public on the path to re-election as president. While there are many differences between the bin laden incident and the Baghdadi assassination, Americans feel it before others. Newsweek Magazine quotes John Harvard on CNBC television, “Although the death of Baghdadi is a tragic event, it is unlikely that it will bring about a major change in the American public’s attitude toward President Donald Trump’s policies.” American writer Cian Ograd goes a step further and says with boldness: “Baghdadi’s death does not necessarily mean a world-changing, safer world, while Donald Trump remains in power.” But the West British Times newspaper warns that Baghdadi’s death may spark more violence around the world, adding that ISIL-armed groups may continue their wars with new fashions from now on. . As long as there is deep oppression in the Arab world, there will be opportunities for new terrorist arrangements, the newspaper writes. Newspaper summarizes ISIS’s rise in oppressive policies of authoritarian regimes in the Middle East and their ugly dealings with political opponents, But the activities of the Khorasan branch of the Islamic State of Iraq, which has been going on in Afghanistan for several years, may not be greatly affected by the killing of Baghdad, as the network has its independence and is more subject to regional conditions than its central leadership in Iraq and Syria. In recent months, bloody clashes between ISIL gunmen and Taliban fighters have occurred in various parts of Afghanistan, especially in the eastern provinces of the country, causing heavy casualties and causing the group to withdraw from some areas. But the future of armed groups depends on the future of US policy in Afghanistan and the fate of peace talks that has re-emerged after a recession.